AGP Executive Report
Last update: 10 hours agoOil & Markets: Oil slid sharply after Trump called off a planned strike on Iran and said talks would start Monday, with Brent down about 5–7% and WTI also falling; the move lifted some European risk appetite while Asian shares stayed mixed. Negotiations & Hormuz: Trump framed a potential deal around “immediate, complete and total” reopening of the Strait of Hormuz and an end to Iran’s nuclear threat, but Iran’s foreign ministry said it is not negotiating with the US and is instead working with Oman on Hormuz passage. Iran Pressure Strategy: A Reuters report says Tehran is trying to outlast Washington by turning trade routes, shipping lanes and energy infrastructure into pressure points to raise the cost of confrontation. Iran Business Impact: With Hormuz uncertainty still hanging over energy flows, analysts warn of knock-on effects for inflation and growth, including UK recession risk if the strait stays closed longer. UK Cost-of-War Spillover: Separate UK data shows fuel theft from forecourts has surged since the Iran crisis began, with nearly £200,000 worth stolen daily—adding to the broader economic strain. Policy Watch: Fed’s John Williams said inflation should ease but the Fed will act if it doesn’t, keeping rate expectations tied to energy and trade risks.
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